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How to Measure Job Creation in Development Projects

Development finance institutions need to know how many jobs their investments support and create, yet obtaining reliable data is a challenge. To address this, IDB Invest is piloting a new framework to measure the contribution of development project portfolios to employment in Latin America and the Caribbean.

A woman oversees the construction of a major infrastructure project in Latin America

 

Job creation is one of the main indicators of a healthy economy. However, in Latin America and the Caribbean, where over half the labor force is informal, creating quality jobs is a significant challenge. Development finance institutions such as IDB Invest are instrumental in addressing this issue by financing projects that drive sustainable growth through the private sector.

Development banks help to unlock employment opportunities that might not otherwise emerge, particularly in underserved sectors and regions. Reliable measurement of employment outcomes is therefore key to effectively capturing this impact. In this context, IDB Invest is piloting a new approach to estimate the direct and indirect jobs supported and created by its portfolio. 

 

Infographic of a woman working on a laptop, accompanied by the text: “5.8 Jobs Created per $1 Million Invested by IDB Invest in 2024.”

 

Creating and Measuring Private Sector Jobs 


Development banks typically want to measure how much their projects contribute to employment, but this is more complex than it may sound. Despite efforts to develop a standardized methodology for measuring job creation, there is currently no universal approach. 

Instead, development banks often report related concepts, such as jobs supported or employment sustained by their investments, which are easier to quantify but lack conceptual clarity and scope. 

A Pilot Framework to Estimate the Contribution of IDB Invest’s Portfolio to Employment 
IDB Invest’s pilot to measure the contribution of its projects to employment draws on client data, country-specific aggregate statistics, and standard economic models. The framework proposes a methodology to estimate both jobs supported and jobs created —direct and indirect. 

The methodology estimates contributions to employment at the portfolio level, rather than measuring the impact of each project. Estimating the latter would require rigorous impact evaluations with counterfactual analyses at the project level — essentially, comparing a project’s job effects with the scenario in which it had not existed.


IDB Invest applied the proposed framework to its portfolio of active projects in 2024. It estimated the number of direct jobs supported (defined as the number of employees working within the project, the client company, or the final beneficiaries) and direct jobs created (defined as the number of new employees hired as a direct result of the project). 

 

Graphic: Employment Impact of IDB Projects

 

Pilot Results


The results show that Corporate projects create the most direct jobs, typically through large-scale expansions and scale-ups of established companies. These projects often involve operating new plants, opening new production lines, expanding service offerings, or entering new markets, each driving multiple rounds of recruitment for managerial, technical, and operational jobs. 


Similarly, projects through Financial Intermediaries, which enable access to financing for many micro, small, and medium-sized enterprises (MSMEs), also generate a significant uptick in direct employment. 


Meanwhile, Infrastructure projects, such as highways, bridges, or wind farms, tend to create relatively few permanent jobs. While they mobilize large workforces during the construction phase and generate indirect employment, long-term staffing needs generally stabilize around small maintenance teams. Additionally, the results show that IDB Invest projects created an average of 5.8 jobs per year for each $1 million invested. This aligns closely with existing research.1

 


From Job Quantity to Quality 


This framework is a first step towards quantifying how a portfolio of development projects contributes to employment. There is still more work to be done to capture the full spectrum of job effects, such as indirect jobs supported and spillovers across industries. Measuring the quality of jobs in terms of wages, skill requirements, stability, and other factors is also essential. 


This pilot aims to propose a standardized approach that can be applied to other development finance institutions facing similar measurement challenges. We encourage the application and refinement of this framework and look forward to ongoing collaboration towards a shared methodology. 


For more information see: 
Measuring the Contribution of Development Projects to Employment: IDB Invest’s Pilot Framework  



 

Authors

Lucas Figal Garone

Lucas Figal Garone is Lead Economist of Development Impact for Latin America and the Caribbean at IDB Invest, Inter-American Development Bank (IDB)

Victoria Luca

Victoria Luca is a Development Effectiveness consultant in the Development Effectiveness Division of IDB Invest, where she supports the evaluation of

Lucas Navarro

Lucas Navarro is an external consultant in the Development Effectiveness Division of IDB Invest and in the Competitiveness, Technology, and Innovation

Rodolfo Stucchi

Rodolfo Stucchi is Director of Development Impact at IDB Invest. His areas of expertise include development economics, public policy evaluation, and m

Development Impact

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